The Cone of Uncertainty - Visualization of startup risk reduction through experimentation
HIGH UNCERTAINTY → EXPERIMENTS → PMF

Build your startup
like a scientist.

A decision lab that helps early-stage founders reduce wrong moves by turning uncertainty into testable experiments.

Why founders don’t fail from lack of information

Advice is everywhere, but priorities are unclear

Frameworks are fragmented and contradictory

The real cost is not money, but wrong sequencing

The System

Founder Decision Lab is not a course.

It’s a repeatable decision system built on hypothesis → test → learn → decide.

STEP 01

Define Hypothesis

Identify the critical assumption that could kill your business.

STEP 02

Design Test

Create the smallest valid experiment to validate it.

STEP 03

Read Signals

Analyze real data, not vanity metrics or polite feedback.

STEP 04

Decide Move

Pivot, persevere, or kill with absolute confidence.

Assets, not assignments.

We don't give you homework. We give you tools to build with.

Decision frameworks you can reuse
Real startup cases (success + failure)
Weekly experiments to run, not just read
A signal-focused founder community

Our Philosophy

We don’t teach certainty. We design experiments.

We don’t promise success. We reduce decision risk.

Formula before fortune.

Stop guessing.
Start building.